Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.313417 0.420513 0.538773 0.676820 0.831552 0.997920 1.188709
2025-04-27 0.183472 0.324878 0.500600 0.723777 0.990627 1.292209 1.652324
2025-05-04 0.133971 0.293010 0.507300 0.793359 1.147352 1.557350 2.056182
2025-05-11 0.091466 0.255978 0.497490 0.835379 1.266302 1.775724 2.404953
2025-05-18 0.054756 0.212479 0.468601 0.844812 1.338813 1.933986 2.679177
2025-05-25 0.020639 0.151698 0.401840 0.794355 1.328928 1.987721 2.825601
2025-06-01 0.003469 0.102037 0.339111 0.740062 1.307065 2.021446 2.943592
2025-06-08 NaN 0.072840 0.302426 0.717551 1.322829 2.098608 3.111236
2025-06-15 NaN 0.059736 0.292799 0.734013 1.390024 2.239766 3.356443
2025-06-22 NaN 0.043012 0.269405 0.725504 1.420647 2.332854 3.541426
2025-06-29 NaN 0.027554 0.241249 0.705393 1.432547 2.400168 3.693200
2025-07-06 NaN 0.024629 0.246657 0.742247 1.525999 2.573792 3.977912
2025-07-13 NaN 0.021454 0.251749 0.781576 1.627950 2.765036 4.293334
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019556 0.260818 0.828777 1.742825 2.975232 4.635199
2025-07-27 NaN 0.021771 0.285458 0.904361 1.899446 3.240500 5.046315
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019750 0.293271 0.949081 2.010627 3.445866 5.382223
2025-08-10 NaN 0.014014 0.282893 0.959241 2.070094 3.582356 5.630948
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004661 0.240741 0.905219 2.031232 3.586239 5.710405
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000341 0.199830 0.846995 1.982234 3.573957 5.767212
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.177439 0.822810 1.983347 3.627705 5.906870
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.174579 0.840497 2.050124 3.771206 6.162250
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.160542 0.831357 2.073436 3.854492 6.339482
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.142316 0.809739 2.075406 3.907516 6.476921